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State of AI 2026

想法

Asking deeper questions

工作流集成

We're way past the point where AI tools were a nice-to-have, take-it-or-leave-it addition to our daily workflows, with a majority respondents now relying on AI full stop.
AI 工具已成为我工作流程中不可或缺的一部分
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1
强烈反对
714
2
反对
393
3
中立
627
4
同意
1,948
5
十分同意
2,601
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
受访者百分比
6,283
87%
2.8
3
10

生产力

Even more than last year, a majority of respondents agree that AI tools have made them significantly more productive.
AI 工具让我效率大大提高
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1
强烈反对
673
2
反对
526
3
中立
1,097
4
同意
2,237
5
十分同意
1,733
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
受访者百分比
6,266
86%
2.6
3
10

AI 依赖

Paradoxically, respondents are also well aware that reliance on AI will lead to poorer developer skills overall. But, as some commenters pointed out, AI itself might make up for that loss: “Less skilled yes. More capable on average also yes”.
依赖 AI 工具会导致开发人员整体技能下降
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1
强烈反对
178
2
反对
658
3
中立
1,175
4
同意
2,363
5
十分同意
1,880
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
受访者百分比
6,254
86%
2.8
3
10

工作保障

As respondents astutely pointed out, AI doesn't have to be able to replace you to be a threat to your job–all that's needed is that your boss thinks it can: the worry is that “AI companies can convince employers that AI can take my job, even if it can’t”.
AI 工具对我的工作保障构成威胁
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1
强烈反对
445
2
反对
1,286
3
中立
1,748
4
同意
1,957
5
十分同意
826
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
受访者百分比
6,262
86%
2.2
2
10

生存风险

Digging into the comments paints a nuanced picture on the question if existential AI risk, with the concensus being that the main problem isn't really AI itself, but rather how we use it.
AI 对人类构成生存风险
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1
强烈反对
662
2
反对
1,566
3
中立
1,788
4
同意
1,550
5
十分同意
700
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
受访者百分比
6,266
86%
2
2
10

AI Bubble

Many respondents think we're currently in an AI bubble. But they also realize AI is here to stay, even after it eventually pops.
We're currently in an “AI bubble”
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1
强烈反对
162
2
反对
545
3
中立
1,167
4
同意
2,317
5
十分同意
2,068
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
受访者百分比
6,259
86%
2.9
3
10

AI Improvements

Despite frequent gripes about such-and-such model being completely ruined by a recent update, it seems like respondents agree overall that we're seeing steady progress in terms of AI tool quality.
The overall quality of AI tools has improved significantly year-over-year
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1
强烈反对
127
2
反对
207
3
中立
560
4
同意
2,343
5
十分同意
3,009
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
受访者百分比
6,246
86%
3.3
3
10

达到 AGI

Depending on who you ask, we're either 6 months away from AGI, or we'll never reach it (as one comment put it, “LLMs are not the path to AGI. They never were.”)

Overall though, one gets the feeling that despite AI researcher's obsession with reaching that elusive goal, the rest of us would be quite content to keep using our current “dumb” AI for a while, if it means bulldozing a few less rainforests in the process.

我们将在未来 10 年内达到 AGI（“真正的”、有思维的人工智能）
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1
强烈反对
1,383
2
反对
1,341
3
中立
1,801
4
同意
1,118
5
十分同意
586
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
受访者百分比
6,229
86%
1.7
2
10

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